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2024-12-14 05:12:02

Statement of the work: Personal opinion, for reference only.Third, according to my observation, small and micro-cap stocks have now reached the limit point of rising, and the possibility of turning around and turning down is very great. At present, the differentiation between the large market and the small market has also reached the extreme. Recently, we have seen the performance of low-priced stocks is very good, which actually shows that the "bull market in the first stage" has entered the final stage. At the end of the bull market, it is very likely that the weight of the market will rise and rise, and then at the same time, small-cap stocks will continue to adjust.


Why is it so predictable? Three specific reasons:Based on the above analysis, my judgment on the market trend tomorrow is that the probability of the market closing the Yinxian line tomorrow is relatively large. So how will A shares go tomorrow? Please look at the hand-drawn forecast chart about tomorrow's trend.Second, from the perspective of symmetry. Since the high of 3509 points fell, an obvious downward channel has been formed. And this descending channel is actually possible to be mapped in the current possible band. That is to say, if the current index falls, it is possible to go down at the same angle as the previous falling segment.


Let's take a look at the CSI 2000 Index, which represents the trend of small-cap stocks. CSI 2000 Index. At present, it is a typical rising wedge structure. This structure has run to the pressure level of the wedge-shaped upper rail. It has also run to the recent low point. After the low point support line is broken, it becomes the pressure level of the pressure line (the red line in the figure). Therefore, I think that small-cap stocks will actually face greater adjustment pressure tomorrow.Third, according to my observation, small and micro-cap stocks have now reached the limit point of rising, and the possibility of turning around and turning down is very great. At present, the differentiation between the large market and the small market has also reached the extreme. Recently, we have seen the performance of low-priced stocks is very good, which actually shows that the "bull market in the first stage" has entered the final stage. At the end of the bull market, it is very likely that the weight of the market will rise and rise, and then at the same time, small-cap stocks will continue to adjust.Second, from the perspective of symmetry. Since the high of 3509 points fell, an obvious downward channel has been formed. And this descending channel is actually possible to be mapped in the current possible band. That is to say, if the current index falls, it is possible to go down at the same angle as the previous falling segment.

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